UFC FN 45: Cerrone vs. Miller

Date: Wednesday, July 16th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 17:30 LP.net / 3:30pm PST / 6:30pm EST
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1): 18:00 LP.net / 4:00pm PST / 7:00pm EST
Main Card (Fox Sports 1): 20:00 LP.net / 6pm PST / 9pm PST
Live Streams: http://www.vipbox.tv (All MMA events are listed under the UFC button. Press the UFC button and you'll see the event in the list.)





Main Card (Fox Sports 1)

Donald Cerrone (23-6) vs. Jim Miller (24-4) (Lightweight)
Edson Barboza (13-2) vs. Evan Dunham (14-5) (Lightweight)
Rick Story (16-8) vs. Leonardo Mafra (11-1) (Welterweight)
Justin Salas (12-5) vs. Joe Proctor (9-2) (Lightweight)
John Lineker (23-7) vs. Alptekin Ozkilic (9-2) (Flyweight)
Lucas Martins (14-1) vs. Alex White (10-0) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)

Gleison Tibau (28-10) vs. Pat Healy (29-19) (Lightweight)
Jessamyn Duke (3-1) vs. Leslie Smith (6-5-1) (Women's Bantamweight)
Hugo Viana (8-1) vs. Aljamain Sterling (9-0) (Bantamweight)
Yosdenis Cedeno (9-3) vs. Jerrod Sanders (14-1) (Lightweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Claudia Gadelha (11-0) vs. Tina Lahdemaki (5-0) (Women's Strawweight)

Other

- Zak Cummings was briefly linked to a bout with Kenny Robertson at the event. However, Cummings was pulled from the fight in favor of a matchup with Gunnar Nelson a few days later at UFC Fight Night 46 after his opponent Ryan LaFlare was removed from that card. Subsequently, Robertson was removed from the card entirely and rescheduled to face Ildemar Alcantara a week earlier at UFC 175.
- Rick Story was expected to face John Howard at the event. However, Howard was forced out of the bout with an injury and replaced by Leonardo Mafra.
- Jim Alers was expected to face Lucas Martins at the event. However, Alers pulled out of the bout citing injury and was replaced by Alex White.
- Leo Kuntz was expected to make his UFC debut against Yosdenis Cedeno at the event. However, Kuntz was forced out of the bout with an injury and replaced by promotional newcomer Jerrod Sanders.

First thoughts:

• Cerrone > Miller
• Barboza > Dunham (I have a bet on Dunham at +200. This is a good one to live bet.)
• Story > Mafra
• Salas vs. Proctor (dunno yet)
• Ozkilic > Lineker
• Martins vs. White (dunno yet)
• Tibau > Healy
• Smith > Duke
• Sterling > Viana
• Cedeno vs. Sanders (dunno, but Cedeno sucks.)
• Gadelha > Lahdemaki

Bets I am going to make for sure:

- Jim Miller (+230)
- Barboza + Gadelha (-137)
- Hugo Viana (+170)


This is a shitty card for most people, but I think this is a decent card. I will watch the entire event.

UFC artists trying to slowly mold Cerrone's face into Nick Diaz, it's subtle but it's there

On July 14 2014 15:27 soberstone wrote: UFC artists trying to slowly mold Cerrone's face into Nick Diaz, it's subtle but it's there

Yeah, he looks like he's old and sick in that picture. I wanted to use the picture above ^, but the ones available were too small to resize to my default size.

I'll be posting the thread for UFC FN 46 later today.

$250 free roll: https://www.kountermove.com/join/2956...ht-night-45-cerrone-vs-miller-T-free/

Miller is a strange case. He was a very good college wrestler, I think finished like 2nd & 4th or something in division I wrestling, and is a very good BJJ black belt. But he doesn't have the kind of top game that he should.

On paper you'd think Miller could take Cerrone down and beat him up to a decision, but Miller never seems to do that. His BJJ is crazy aggressive, so he never really out positions people for a decision.

So with that said I'm taking Cerrone via beating Miller up on the feet a bunch. Dunno if he's a good bet at -240 though.

Prelims start in 35 minutes.

can this be watched for free? i mean legally like on facebook and chit?

Damn Leslie Smith laid down an ass whoopin.

On July 16 2014 19:06 Stim_Abuser wrote: Damn Leslie Smith laid down an ass whoopin.

Yep! She fought better this time. Leg kicks + didn't brawl.

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My bets for this event pre-live betting:

Evan Dunham +200 $10
Dunham/Barboza u2.5 -105 $5
Story/Mafra u2.5 +100 $5
Alp Ozkilic +230 $30
White/Martins o1.5 -125 $5
Gleison Tibau -130 $20
Leslie Smith -135 $30 = won
Gadelha/Lahdemaki u2.5 +161 $10 = lost


Parlay $2: Miller, Dunham, Ozkilic
Parlay $30: Cerrone, Story, Gadelha

On July 16 2014 18:56 whamm! wrote: can this be watched for free? i mean legally like on facebook and chit?

If you have Fox Sports 1, it's free. Otherwise, you need to watch it via a stream. If you're outside of America, you can check your cable channels to see what channel it's on for you.

While it'll be very tough, I don't think I've ever wanted to see a fighter win more than dunham tonight.

With that said, Barboza is probably a really good bet. Dunham had a very rough camp and due to injuries he hasn't been able to properly train consistently for a very long time.

Never the less, dude is incredibly talented and confident. Hoping like hell for an upset.

On July 16 2014 19:49 KeanuReaver wrote: While it'll be very tough, I don't think I've ever wanted to see a fighter win more than dunham tonight. With that said, Barboza is probably a really good bet. Dunham had a very rough camp and due to injuries he hasn't been able to properly train consistently for a very long time. Never the less, dude is incredibly talented and confident. Hoping like hell for an upset.

While I did pick Barboza to win, I did put a bet on Dunham. The only reason I did that is because Barboza' chin is bad. Dunham is extremely slow and Barboza is extremely fast, so I think that if Barboza wins, it will be by TKO. Dunham could win by various methods.

Nice finish by Martins. Entertaining fight overall!

Welp, I overestimated Ozkilic. I thought he was gonna use his wrestling more, but he didn't.

One thing that impressed me about this fight is Lineker's varied striking, Lineker's improved gas tank, Ozkilic's chin, and Ozkilic's striking.

30-27 for Lineker "if" it went to a decision. Great finish by Lineker.

Mafra looks a lil crazy or something.. rushing the center of the octagon and not going back to his corner before the fight.. and talking to himself.. weirdo

One time Dunham!

Brazilians with big muscles continue to look terrible in the octagon if they can't get/keep the fight where they want it.

GG Dunham. He can either retire, or go fight in WSOF, Bellator, or One FC.

IMO, I'd rather see him retire if he gets cut from the UFC. Yeah, he still has some skill and could beat plenty of guys in the smaller organizations but, his career will only go down from here and he'll never be back in the UFC once he's cut.