DFS Statistical Model Up and Running

New to LiquidPoker? Register here for free!

Forum Index > Poker Blogs

Gadget United States. Feb 25 2014 18:27. Posts 295

So I've been working on a statistical model for projecting fantasy points and I finally have it working to give me some basic numbers. I have a lot of stuff I still plan on adding, but for now it is using all the info I've been using by hand for the past few months. I don't want to give out all the specifics of it, but it takes the fantasy points per minute of each player and multiplies that by a number of factors based on the matchup that day. I manually input the number of minutes above/below the players season average of minutes I think they will play that day. This gives me the ability to account for injuries on a daily basis. The best part is it takes my ~2 hour research process daily down to about 15 minutes, giving me time to look at things a bit more in depth. Here are my top picks at each position for today with my projection:

PG:
Lowry(8300): 41
Lillard(7900): 36
Brooks(3600): 23

SG:
Harden(9200): 43
Stephenson(7600): 35
Green(5900): 27

SF:
Ariza(6600): 32
Batum(6200): 29
Parsons(7200): 34

PF:
Booker(3500): 25
Robinson(4300): 29
Love(11600): 51

C:
Noah(9100): 41
Howard(9300): 41
Hibbert(5400): 29

I haven't gotten a Full Tilt email yet. Has anyone else not received an email that is expecting one?

0 votes

jdmk2114 United States. Feb 26 2014 08:16. Posts 25

How many hours did it take you to build the model?
Whatever it is, I'd say that's an efficient use of your time.

Gadget United States. Feb 26 2014 18:13. Posts 295

It took me and a friend about 20 hours of work.