
I'm on Boku/Manhoef/Belingon/Pulver.
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I'm picking Boku cuz he can KO Aoki and has a good chin, but I'm not putting a bunch on him cuz Aoki is obviously the better submission artist. Luckily for me, Boku is currently at +550 on 5dimes, even though he's the champion in this fight. Basically a value bet cuz Aoki is at -1050.
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Manhoef should win here. He has the speed, power, and improved TDD as of late.
Larson is good on the ground, but he's shown his true age (35 years old, been fighting for 10.5 years) in his last few fights and his take downs aren't as fast or as good as they once were. Also, Larson's striking is really really bad.
I added Manhoef to a couple parlays, but he's too expensive to bet straight up at -280. I see Manhoef using his strength and pushing Larson away from trying to get in close as well as tagging Larson hard when he tries to come in.
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I did research earlier this week on all of the main card fighters, and I think Belingon should take this. He seems more well rounded, but both of these guys are C level fighters, so I wouldn't pay the -260 for Belingon straight up, so I added him to some parlays.
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There's value on Pulver at +350, but only in a parlay. Ueda's strongest attribute are his kicks, which happens to be effective vs. Pulver since he doesn't move as fast these days and showed to get caught by various kicks in his most recent fights, none were fight ending but Ueda could own him hard if he connects with multiple kicks.
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