1Milllion USD Challenge - Cao vs Antonius

Cao 3 barrels bluff and Antonius calls down

Cao 3bet PF to 2.8k and bet 3.2k flop and bet 7k into 12k pot on turn. Antonius raises allin turn.

After not even an hour play of NLHE

They are now starting 1 table of 2-7 at 1.5k/3k limits

I won't post 2-7 hands tough because quite annoying to post

cao down about 100k so far in 2-7

Cao recovered and down only 50k. Antonius is in for his original 100k stack only.

They ended their 2-7 with Cao a ~40k winner

thanks for screens/updates again!

tyvm ,was actually really interesting reading updates

Yes, solid updates tyty

well, looks like Cao lost the challenge already
http://www.highstakesdb.com/3633-patr...illion-challenge-against-rui-cao.aspx

He lost the 2-7 and PLO part already. Only left with the NLHE part to be finished.

If Cao loses NL, he will have lost 1M total to Antonius, and if he wins it, he will have to give 300k to Antonius for bonus.
So for Antonius it's either a 1M win or 950k win...

650k, he'd be -300 from the NL.

On February 19 2013 13:08 Oly wrote: 650k, he'd be -300 from the NL.

Hmm no. Like Kingpowa said: if Cao wins NLHE part, total it would be: +650k for Antonius.
But they agreed that if someones doesn't scoop (wins all 3 part of the challenge), the loser still has to ship back 300k$ to the overall winner.

So all in all Cao lost at least 950k even if the challenge is not finished yet. At least I understood it like Kingpowa from the convo they had when they agreed on the terms of the challenge.

On February 19 2013 14:39 BadGoNe wrote: Show nested quote + On February 19 2013 13:08 Oly wrote: 650k, he'd be -300 from the NL. if Cao wins NLHE part, total it would be: +650k for Antonius.

This is where you go wrong. He would be +650k before playing NLH (as is the current situation). Then lose 300k at NLH and be at +350k, then receive a transfer for 300k and be back to 650.

oly fuck, simple math and i'm lost...
thx oly !

lol my bad then I can't count

I've got a sneaking suspicion that just possibly cao and antonius made the same mistake when arranging this. Surely not?!

well there are 2 possibilities, so you are both right.

1) antonius up the 650k, and they decide not to play the NL (and there is no 300k forfeiture) and antonius collects the 300k bet, and wins 950k

2) antonius is up the 650k, decide not to play NL (and antonius agrees to forfeit or lose 300k) to still finish up as the winner, and collects the bet, bringing him to 650k.


all in all, since antonius is winning, if / when they decide to avoid finishing the NLHE section of their challenge, i cannot see antonius agreeing to give up 300k, especially since he would likely think he would win that amount.

i think hes probably going to win $1 million, and the reason that the 300k bet was added on was so that if the winner didnt scoop, it would still be a ~1million swing to the winner of the challenge (in this case, at least)