$1 PLO river bluff w/ all draws missed

Villain is a regular running at 20/14 over 1138 hands. His aggression frequency is 51. At this point in time I would evaluate villain to be an average regular. I have a reasonable image at this point.
With the dynamic as described are you firing here with essentially no sd value?

Submitted by : InsideMan

$1 PL Hi 6 max - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

SB: $96.00
BB: $107.70
Hero UTG : $292.48
MP: $51.95
CO: $98.00
BTN: $69.65

SB posts SB $1.00, BB posts BB $1.00

Pre Flop: pot: $2.00 Hero has

Hero raises to $3.00, fold, fold, BTN calls $3.00, fold, fold

Flop: $8.00, 2 players
Hero bets $6.00, BTN calls $6.00

Turn: $20.00, 2 players
Hero bets $16.00, BTN calls $16.00

River: $52.00, 2 players
Hero

I would definitely fire, it might be a slightly -EV play in a vacuum though. The 4c is about as brickish as you can get.

i bluff there pretty much always
i dont think its -ev in a vacuum at all, we have 2pr+ super often and villain has a drawin hand very often as well
bet 35 and profit imo

agree with mipwnya, plus we have such a big draw that the only reason we missed is villain had all our outs right? :D

Does it play a large factor how long he took before he called the flop and the turn?
If it's two snaps, will that make it better to bluff, than let's say, some thought, then call, and some thought on turn, then call, indicating that he had more options on what line to take, which maybe would make him stronger.

Since you have the sickest draws, he maybe have the other stuff?

On July 29 2012 00:36 Mariuslol wrote: Does it play a large factor how long he took before he called the flop and the turn? If it's two snaps, will that make it better to bluff, than let's say, some thought, then call, and some thought on turn, then call, indicating that he had more options on what line to take, which maybe would make him stronger. Since you have the sickest draws, he maybe have the other stuff?

That will depend on your opponent and how well he balances his timing tells. Without reads I wouldn't read into it too much.