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10/20 get c/r on river - Page 4

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Rapoza   Brasil. Jul 25 2012 08:57. Posts 1612

--- Nuked ---

Pouncer Style 4 the win 

Daut    United States. Jul 26 2012 01:20. Posts 8955


  On July 23 2012 14:06 MARSHALL28 wrote:
Show nested quote +



I'd repost the same question that I asked to fayth.....

Give me a reasonable thought process for how villain gets to this point and makes this play with a worse hand for value.

How does he get to this spot with a hand that is reasonable to now turn into a bluff.

----------

Anybody who plays only live would not be able to define ranges as narrowly as I'm able to in a 10/20NL online game @ 2012 given UTG opened and I flatted MP.....

My flatting range in this spot includes these hands and these hands only:
AA-66, AK, AQ, KQs, JTs-67s

Flop As8c7d

When chkd to I'm going to bet 88,77, 78, AK, AQ for value (prob chk AA). I'm going to bluff w/ KQs, JTs, T9s, sometimes 67s, sometimes 66.

After villain calls and the turn is 9c then he chks, hands I'm going to continue betting are.... almost all of them. I chkd back 89 but that has 2pr so now I'm betting. KQcc I'll continue betting, other KQs give up. JT now has a straight, 67 probably keeps bluffing because I have an open ender, 66 probably keeps bluffing too for the same reason.

Villain calls, river is a 7s.... what hands am I still betting for value? 77, 88, JT, AK/AQ, 99. If villain knows my range here ... he realizes, IT'S REALLY STRONG. Only somewhat thin value bets are AK/AQ, so maybe he thinks he can get me off of those hands if he c/r bluffs. But if he was so worried about me having those hands and him being beat, he's almost always just going to fold and not turn his hand into a bluff because clearly my range is so strong here and like everyone here thinks, no one is going to fold very often with such a strong range to a c/r bluff.

So what hands can he get to this point with after c/c twice?

Most obvious ones in my mind are AA and 99. AA slowplaying flop and turn (seems like a bad play to me but people make dumb plays all the time), 99 is clearly the most obvious. It c/c the flop cuz it thinks no better hand folds and no worse hand calls (which isn't necessarily true but I can see why he'd think that). If he has KK or QQ I could see him c/c once or even twice, but at this river, cuz it seems so unlikely I'm folding to a c/r, seems like a pretty awful spot for him to consider one would work.

Anything anybody said about guys having 67 or JT is just ridiculous. Like I said previously, if a good player c/c this flop w/ 67, he's 100% going to c/r or fold this turn given how strong my range is and how he picks up additional equity. 97 is not in any good regs UTG 3x opening range -- EVER -- It's too weak a hand to make a long term profit so I'm just going to ignore the fact that he could even have it. If he has AJ or AQ, he's going to think about either calling or folding. If he has TT it's kind of the same thought process along the lines of 67... his hand is toast on the turn, but it could be a good spot to c/r bluff with that hand.

So pretty much I think every time he's bluffing I'm going to hear from him on the turn--after all, that's when the board gets most draw heavy and also the point where he can represent the most semi-bluffs in order to get me to call down light.

Had this guy c/r this turn w/ 99 then jammed the river, pretty sure he 100% gets my whole stack, but clearly he's not that good.

So that's my thoughts. None of it is trolling, ranges are just far more defined nowadays than when you used to play.




love posts and breakdowns like this.

i know its 200bb deep, but are 67s and 78s more profitable to call than KJs QTs AJs and 55 here in the hijack vs lojack?

NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut 

MARSHALL28   United States. Jul 26 2012 03:52. Posts 1904

I'm pretty sure u know the answers to those questions though.


Fayth    Canada. Jul 26 2012 11:25. Posts 10085

I usually call here cuz his line is full of shit, even if he's gonna show up with 99 or AA sometimes, c/c flop and c/c turn when board is so drawy.....

oh and just because you learned some common sense regarding ur finances doesn't mean you're suddenly better at poker than me or any other pro in here for that matter, from what I know you don't even play heads up, so stop challenging people who are mocking you when they're really just disagreeing in a somewhat mean way

you really need to stop being so emotional and take everything everyone says about your game so personally

Im not sure what to do tomorrow when I see her, should I shake her hand?? -Floofy 

MARSHALL28   United States. Jul 26 2012 17:56. Posts 1904


  On July 26 2012 10:25 Fayth wrote:

you really need to stop being so emotional and take everything everyone says about your game so personally



okay, thanks, ill try.


 
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