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$1 PLO bottom set+redraws 135bb

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InsideMan   United Kingdom. Jun 26 2012 14:57. Posts 159

I perceive villain to be a weak player. He is playing 37/16 over 324 hands and opening 39% of buttons. His AFQ is 48%, his flop CB in single raised pots is 60%. I have a note on him that he will try to get to showdown in limped pots with medium strength hands instead of betting for protection and that he will keep firing with sets once he has put in a raise, even if the board turns ugly.
I think jamming is viable as we have very good equity against ranges that villain can be getting it in with. My only concern is that if we pot and villain calls, we will be left on the turn with 1.5 times the pot on a turn that is either straightening or flushing roughly 50% of the time. Thus I wonder if anybody prefers delaying a raise till a safe turn card where we can get in the majority of our stack with one raise, should villain barrel.

Submitted by : InsideMan

$1 PL Hi 6 max - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: $169.00
SB: $116.75
Hero BB : $135.20
UTG: $77.67
MP: $248.55
CO: $99.00

SB posts SB $1.00, Hero posts BB $1.00

Pre Flop: pot: $2.00 Hero has8h8d7c9d

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $4.00, fold, Hero calls $3.00

Flop: $9.00, 2 players8sKd Td
Hero checks, BTN bets $7.00, Hero

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There is no such thing as certainty in life, only opportunity.  

Daut    United States. Jun 27 2012 01:39. Posts 8955

nah, check pot. youre potting any non diamond non board pairing turn. on a diamond youre c/c. on a board pair youre half potting. if you had naked 88 here im a fan of taking a c/c or leading out line because you cant just pot/go with it on AQJ97 but here you can since you have plenty of equity against the nuts

NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, DautLast edit: 27/06/2012 01:39

MeProOk   Bulgaria. Jun 27 2012 12:52. Posts 246

I would lead otf here for 2 reasons - 1st you are balancing your weaker leading range 2nd you may get some weaker hands to call flop and any neutral turn as they would believe they have more equity than they do, ex pair and a gutshot, pair and an open ender etc. some of the hands that would call you twice won't call a check raise otf. If villain raises the donk bet, I'm more than happy to get it in on that board with that hand.


InsideMan   United Kingdom. Jun 29 2012 13:28. Posts 159

Thanks for your input guys.

@ MeProOk

What type of hands are you looking to check-raise here then or do you not check-raise on this flop?

There is no such thing as certainty in life, only opportunity.  

MeProOk   Bulgaria. Jun 30 2012 14:46. Posts 246

I would check raise hands that are not the top 1% of my range and also not my weakest hands. Hands like just set or a pair gutshot and fd or a wrap/open ender with a fd or top two/top and bottom with a draw.


NMcNasty    United States. Jul 11 2012 17:43. Posts 2041

Vs a weak player the chance that he checks back turn is too great for a c/c line to be good, and c/c donk turn lines just make no sense.


 



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