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Handnr: 1047782
Submitted by : DragOn_

PokerStars Zoom Hand #127981939059: Holdem No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2015/01/03 11:31:58 MT [2015/01/03 13:31:58 ET]
Table Whirlpool 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Hero ($40.74 in chips)
Seat 2: Great UKR ($24.04 in chips)
Seat 3: Deepstack.dk ($6.47 in chips)
Seat 4: bigbillyg111 ($74.02 in chips)
Seat 5: InterArs13 ($24.91 in chips)
Seat 6: flip4mysocks ($27.43 in chips)
Seat 7: torkkdnm ($25.45 in chips)
Seat 8: fiveplums ($41.88 in chips)
Seat 9: arken994 ($48.56 in chips)
Great UKR: posts small blind $0.10
Deepstack.dk: posts big blind $0.25

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to Hero TsJd
bigbillyg111: folds
InterArs13: folds
flip4mysocks: folds
torkkdnm: folds
fiveplums: folds
arken994: folds
Hero: raises $0.62 to $0.87
Great UKR: calls $0.77
Deepstack.dk: calls $0.62

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $2.61)

   3sQdKd
Great UKR: bets $2
Deepstack.dk: folds
Hero: calls $2

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $6.61)

   3sQdKdTh
Great UKR: bets $4.25
Hero: calls $4.25

River (Pot : $15.11)

   3sQdKdTh7d
Great UKR: checks
Hero: bets $11.54
Great UKR: calls $11.54

Showdown
Hero: shows TsJd (a pair of Tens)
Great UKR: shows AhKh (a pair of Kings)
Great UKR collected $36.47 from pot

Summary
Total pot $38.19 | Rake $1.72
Board  3sQdKdTh7d
Seat 1: Hero (button) showed TsJd and lost with a pair of Tens
Seat 2: Great UKR (small blind) showed AhKh and won ($36.47) with a pair of Kings
Seat 3: Deepstack.dk (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 4: bigbillyg111 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 5: InterArs13 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: flip4mysocks folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 7: torkkdnm folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 8: fiveplums folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 9: arken994 folded before Flop (didnt bet)

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Comments

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DragOn_   Canada. Jan 03 2015 20:24. Posts 214

I feel like I shouldve reraised somewhere. I donno how he calls with AK, he wasnt a calling station afaik and he loses to KQ, KT, QT, AJ, J9, 33, TT and all flushes. maybe I gave him too much credit

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fira   United States. Jan 03 2015 22:57. Posts 6345

i think ur river bluff is good. u're not going to have much air or hands worse than this, and ull definitely have some 2pair and flushes that are valuebetting

u could maybe reduce ur sizing a bit, since u may not be betting as much with thin value hands like AA or KT. its also a spot where i'd expect villain to have some flushes of his own, but thats a complete assumption


DragOn_   Canada. Jan 03 2015 23:41. Posts 214

hmm yeah maybe sizing tell. thnx


traxamillion   United States. Jan 04 2015 01:22. Posts 10468

i like ur bluff and sizing seems fine, but he just didn't want to fold the AK. While you do have many hands that beat his you don't have all of them and this river spot is one where people bet a lot when checked to. It's as though by betting twice then checking river oop villain is inviting you to bet. He's saying go ahead and try to take it, turn it into a bluff. since hes telling you to bet obviously he has to call


traxamillion   United States. Jan 04 2015 01:40. Posts 10468

and from a more technical standpoint if you are bluffing this you may already be bluffing too much. You are repping a flush basically so you are already more polarized than you would probably like to admit. You might have a little more value but I bet that diamond scares you too and you are not betting thin enough here especially with this sizing. The Kd and Qd are already out severely limiting your flush combos to nut flushes (which you may have raised earlier in the hand with the NFD so these can be further discounted) and 10xdd flushes or worse. That is not a ton of value combos. I'll be generous and estimate 40 value combos (prolly less than 30 but this is off the top of my head).

Now lets look at your bluffing range. Here you are turning J10o into a bluff. That alone is 12 combos. QJ is the same thing so we can assume that is 12 more bluff combos. Lets say you bluff nothing else and no air.

So you have 40 valuebets, 24 bluffs, and check the rest. 37.5% of the time hero will be bluffing.

You bet 11.54 into 15.11. So villain needs call 11.54 to win 26.65. So villain needs to be right on his call 30% of the time

In this scenario villain has a clear call so villain's call in this hand is actually not even bad when you think about it. You might argue you have more value combos, fine, I would argue you have a lot more bluff combos...


Gnarly   United States. Jan 04 2015 02:27. Posts 1723

sick post trax

Diversify or fossilize! 

DragOn_   Canada. Jan 04 2015 17:59. Posts 214

+1, so ur saying I should not bluff here or just bluff smaller?


 

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